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BXP, Inc. (BXP) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 results were mixed: revenue beat estimates while GAAP EPS missed materially on non-cash impairment; FFO/share exceeded guidance on stronger portfolio NOI. Revenue was $871.5M vs $851.9M consensus (beat), EPS was $(0.77) vs $0.43 consensus (miss), and FFO/share was $1.74 (+$0.04 vs guidance midpoint) . EPS miss was driven by $212M of impairments tied to the strategic asset sales program; management emphasized this was non-cash and contrasted with FFO strength .
  • Management nudged FY2025 FFO guidance midpoint up by ~$0.03 to $6.89–$6.92, while lowering EPS to $0.99–$1.02 due to impairments; Q3 leasing of >1.5M sf was the strongest Q3 since 2019, supporting 2026 occupancy uplift plans .
  • Balance sheet actions were constructive: $1.0B 2.00% exchangeable notes due 2030 (GAAP 2.5%) and a $465M 5.73% green CMBS at The Hub on Causeway; interest coverage remained ~2.6x–2.8x, and net debt/EBITDAre was 8.21x .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: continued leasing progress at 360 Park Avenue South and 343 Madison (LOI for 30% of space), asset sale closings from a ~$1.25B pipeline, and confirmation of 2026 occupancy uplift (most commencements in 2H26) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Strong leasing momentum and NOI outperformance: 79 leases, >1.5M sf (best Q3 since 2019); FFO beat guidance midpoint by $0.04, driven by better same-property NOI and lower expenses. “FFO per share was $0.04 above our forecast and $0.02 above market consensus” (Owen Thomas) .
    • Capital markets access improved: issued $1.0B 2.00% exchangeables (GAAP 2.5%) and refinanced Hub on Causeway with $465M green CMBS at ~5.73%; management noted five-times oversubscription and tightening CMBS spreads .
    • Development progress: full vertical construction commenced at 343 Madison (LOI for ~274k sf/30%); three projects placed in-service (1050 Winter 100% leased; Reston Next Phase II 92% leased; 360 PAS 38% leased) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • GAAP EPS miss from non-cash impairments tied to asset sales plan: $(0.77) vs $0.43 consensus; impairments totaled $212M for the quarter (including JV-related) .
    • Portfolio occupancy dipped 40 bps to 86.0% after placing three developments in service (occupied vs leased gap widened to ~1.4M sf), though excluding deliveries occupancy rose 20 bps .
    • Dividend reset to $0.70 (from $0.98) reduced distributions; however, FAD payout fell to 61.4%, increasing internal funding flexibility .

Financial Results

Quarterly results (actuals)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$865.2 $868.5 $871.5
Diluted EPS ($)$0.39 $0.56 $(0.77)
FFO per Share – Diluted ($)$1.64 $1.71 $1.74
Operating Margin (%)N/A60.5% 60.8%

Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus

MetricEstimateActualBeat/Miss
EPS ($)$0.43*$(0.77) — bold — Miss
Revenue ($USD Millions)$851.9*$871.5 — bold — Beat
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$486.7*$482.1*Miss

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment mix (BXP’s Share of rental revenue, Q3 2025)

SegmentQ3 2025 ($USD Millions)
Office$739.9
Retail$57.2
Residential$15.8
Hotel$13.1
Total$826.0

KPIs and portfolio metrics

KPIQ2 2025Q3 2025
Portfolio Occupancy (%)86.4% 86.0%
Portfolio Leased (%)89.1% 88.8%
Change in Same-Property NOI (ex-term income) YoY (%)(0.2%) 1.7%
Change in Same-Property NOI – Cash (ex-term income) YoY (%)1.7% 2.6%
Leases Executed (sf, quarter)>1.1M >1.5M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
EPS (Diluted)FY 2025$1.74–$1.82 $0.99–$1.02 — bold — Lowered (impairments)
FFO/Share (Diluted)FY 2025$6.84–$6.92 $6.89–$6.92 — bold — Raised midpoint (~+$0.03)
Avg In‑Service OccupancyFY 2025N/A86.5%–87.5% N/A
Same-Property NOI (ex-term income) YoYFY 2025N/A0.0%–0.5% N/A
Same-Property NOI – Cash (ex-term income) YoYFY 2025N/A1.0%–1.5% N/A
G&A Expense ($M)FY 2025N/A$(161)–$(158) N/A
Consolidated Net Interest ($M)FY 2025N/A$(621)–$(617) N/A
Unconsolidated JV Interest ($M)FY 2025N/A$(75)–$(73) N/A
Dividend/Share (Quarter)Q3 2025$0.98 (prior) $0.70 — bold — Lowered

Management noted FFO midpoint raised by $0.03, with drivers including higher same-property NOI and lower interest expense, partly offset by Q4 asset sale dilution .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Leasing momentum & occupancy>1.1M sf in Q1 and >1.1M sf in Q2; occupancy 86.9%→86.4% with known rollovers >1.5M sf; excluding deliveries occupancy +20 bps; gap between leased and occupied now ~1.4M sf; expecting ~210 bps occupancy improvement by YE 2026 (mostly 2H26) — bold — Strengthening
Capital markets accessRevolver upsized/extended; $252M CMBS at 7750 Wisconsin $1.0B 2.00% exchangeables (GAAP 2.5%); $465M green CMBS at 5.73%; improving CMBS liquidity/spreads — bold — Improving
Asset sales programN/A (prior)Plan to sell ~27 assets for ~$1.9B by 2027; ~$1.25B closed/underway; 2025 dispositions $500–$700M targeted Ramping
AI/tech demand & SF dynamicsNot highlighted in PRsAI demand concentrated south of Mission; activity rising at 680 Folsom; towers remain more pro services-led Mixed: targeted strength
Development pipelineQ2: proceed with 343 Madison; acquire partner’s 45% 343 Madison full vertical started; LOI ~30%; three new in-service projects Advancing
Tariffs/supply chainGeneral risk noted in PRs Tariffs considered in bids; budgets in line; potential savings amid slower construction Manageable

Management Commentary

  • “FFO per share was $0.04 above our forecast and $0.02 above market consensus, and we raised the midpoint of our earnings guidance for the full year 2025 by $0.03” — Owen Thomas, CEO .
  • “We project the current in-service portfolio…to end 2026 at 88.3% occupied, a 210 basis point increase, with most of the improvement in the second half of 2026” — Douglas Linde, President .
  • “All of the outperformance came from better-than-projected same-property portfolio NOI… and lower net operating expenses” — Michael LaBelle, CFO .
  • “We commenced full vertical construction of 343 Madison Avenue… signed a letter of intent… approximately 274,000 square feet, or 30% of the building” — Company release .
  • “Dispositions completed for 2025 could aggregate approximately $500 to $700 million in net proceeds” — Owen Thomas .

Q&A Highlights

  • Asset sales timing and dilution: Management reiterated the $1.9B multi-year plan, with Q4 sales slightly dilutive (~$0.01/share including interest effects); timing could shift dilution within a prior $0.04–$0.09 range discussed at Investor Day .
  • 343 Madison capital partner: Intent to introduce a 30–50% equity partner in 2026 as leasing/market conditions improve; being patient to capture appreciation .
  • Market footprint (LA/Seattle): Smaller West Coast markets remain challenged; no near-term development; selective on acquisitions while focusing on core CBDs .
  • San Francisco & AI: Demand concentrated in mid-rise south of Mission; rising tours/LOIs at 680 Folsom; towers remain more services-led .
  • CBD mix strategy: CBD exposure ~89% of rents; plan to increase CBD concentration via urban investments and suburban dispositions (not to 100%) .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $871.5M vs $851.9M (beat); EPS $(0.77) vs $0.43 (miss); EBITDA $482.1M vs $486.7M (miss). Management noted FFO/share was ~$0.02 above market consensus and $0.04 above guidance midpoint . Values for consensus marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Implications: GAAP EPS estimates likely revised down for 2025 on impairments, while FFO estimates should drift modestly higher on NOI and lower interest expense; 2026 estimates hinge on commencement timing and asset sale cadence .
MetricQ3 2025 ConsensusQ3 2025 Actual
EPS ($)0.426*(0.77)
Revenue ($M)851.9*871.5
EBITDA ($M)486.7*482.1*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Portfolio fundamentals are improving beneath the GAAP print: FFO/share beat and same-property NOI accelerated; watch occupancy upticks as signed leases commence through 2026 .
  • Non-cash impairments drove the dramatic EPS miss; the FFO outlook improved modestly with a raised FY midpoint and lower projected interest expense .
  • Balance sheet actions reduced near-term refinancing risk and signal healthy capital markets access; expect further spread compression to aid transactions .
  • Leasing is a catalyst: strongest Q3 since 2019 with >1.5M sf; momentum at 360 PAS and potential anchor at 343 Madison (30% LOI) could re-rate New York exposure .
  • Asset sale execution (>$1B identified) is a swing factor for deleveraging and FFO path; earlier closings could modestly increase near-term dilution but accelerate balance sheet progress .
  • Dividend reset lowers payout to ~61%, boosting self-funding for capex and development in a still-evolving office market .
  • 2026 setup: most occupancy gains expected in 2H26; monitor commencement schedules, asset sales, and partner announcement at 343 Madison for milestones .

Notes and sources:

  • Q3 press release and supplemental (Form 8‑K Exhibits 99.2/99.1): revenue, EPS/FFO, leasing, guidance, portfolio metrics, and assumptions .
  • Q3 earnings call transcript: commentary on beats/misses, asset sales plan, occupancy trajectory, capital markets, development, AI demand, and Q&A .
  • Q2 and Q1 press releases: prior quarter comps and guidance baselines .

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